[Delay] two weeks in a transit hub, then delivered fine
two weeks in a transit hub, then delivered fine. Making the case below, and I expect to lose some of it in the comments. Posted my first lane report here without the month and got asked for it. Fair, and the table is better for the fussiness. Clearance took three days and the carrier took nine. I had been blaming the…
Four observations is not a distribution. The lane tables here only became predictive once individual routes had a dozen or more reports behind them.
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Push back: comparing a July transit with a February one on the same lane is not a comparison.
Agreed. Reporting by lane rather than by supplier is what made the tables here actually predictive.
Same lane in a different season for comparison?
the last mile is where most of the variance lives
the last mile is where most of the variance lives
Disagreeing with this bit: a single slow shipment does not move a lane, it joins the distribution.
8 days on a lane quoted at 8 is the shape you want
Cosigning the seasonality point. February and August on the same lane are different animals.
That is the quoted lead time, not the observed transit. Both belong in the report and they are different columns.
That is the quoted lead time, not the observed transit.
Agreed — and the decomposition matters. Most people are blaming the international leg for a last-mile problem.
two identical orders a week apart is the cheapest experiment available