unpopular opinion: most of what gets said here about EMS is guesswork
Posting this as a discussion rather than a claim: unpopular opinion: most of what gets said here about EMS is guesswork. Where the time actually goes, which I got wrong for two years. Total transit is first mile, international leg, customs clearance and last mile. I had been attributing everything to the…
Merged into the standing thread for that lane so the reports accumulate in one place.
Merged into the standing thread for that lane so the reports accumulate in one place.
Agreed — and the decomposition matters. Most people are blaming the international leg for a last-mile problem.
Split one order across two months on purpose to compare summer and winter. Four days apart, same carrier, same route.
I would not read a single slow shipment as a lane change. Post it and let the median move if it is real.
That is the quoted lead time, not the observed transit. Both belong in the report and they are different columns.
Push back: comparing a July transit with a February one on the same lane is not a comparison.
the lane is the unit of analysis, not the supplier
This. A quoted lead time that holds is worth more than a fast one that does not.
ask which lines are actually held in the regional warehouse
Was it shipped from a regional warehouse or from origin?
customs clearance time is not carrier time and they get conflated