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unpopular opinion: most of what gets said here about goal weight is guesswork

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unpopular opinion: most of what gets said here about goal weight is guesswork, which sounds obvious until you try to state the evidence for it.

Drifted up 15kg over a winter and panicked. It came back off without any change, which is apparently just what weight does.

Two years at maintenance. The logistics are the only remaining work — ordering, storing, remembering.

Chased the last three kilos with a dose increase and got a fortnight of reflux and no change in the number.

Ask me anything specific. Anything general I will probably get wrong.

958 up / 228 down81% upvoted30 commentsid ohwc7d20 Apr 2025

30 comments

18 in this archive, depth 4

best — the order this archive was captured in

u/osman_ferrari96 points·1 year ago

Maintenance is the phase with the least published guidance and the most individual variation, which is precisely why board consensus here is worth less than usual.

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u/ilias_nakamura67 points·1 year ago

Body weight varies by a couple of kilos over days in stable people through fluid, glycogen and gut content. A range is not a trend.

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u/rafael_krastev19 points·1 year ago

the lowest effective dose is a real target and nobody talks about it

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u/food_noise_gonemaintenance5 points·1 year ago·edited

appetite returns before the scale acknowledges anything

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u/mod_cold_roommod · c/coldchain52 points·1 year ago

Maintenance posts are the most underrated content here and they get a fraction of the votes.

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u/still_here_202630 points·1 year ago

The habits from the losing phase are what carry it now. That is not inspirational, it is just what happened.

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[deleted]12 points·1 year ago

[deleted]

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u/hassan_ostergaard16 points·1 year ago

Right — appetite returns before the scale moves, which is the early signal people miss.

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u/copay_card_cc13 points·1 year ago·edited

Wrote down what maintenance would look like at about week 46, before I needed it. Having decided in advance made the transition boring.

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u/milos_vestergaardOP7 points·1 year ago

That is a range, not a trend. Two weigh-ins 3 days apart cannot distinguish them.

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u/aleksi_lehtinen3 points·1 year ago

Did you decide what maintenance would look like before you got here?

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u/anya_rautio1 point·1 year ago·edited

Yes. The habits have to outlive the dose or the maintenance phase is just a countdown.

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u/taper_off_tabitha2 points·1 year ago

the trials that looked at withdrawal are unambiguous about what follows

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u/zeynep_mbeki6 points·1 year ago

find the dose that holds, then stop optimising

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u/oskar_malinowski8 points·1 year ago

Interval stretching changes the exposure profile: with a week-long half-life, moving to ten or twelve days lowers trough concentration more than it lowers average exposure. That is why appetite return is often the first thing noticed.

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u/rafael_krastev4 points·1 year ago

Correcting myself: 20 months at maintenance, not the figure I posted. I keep rounding it up.

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u/nadia_trevino11 points·1 year ago

Been at maintenance for 2 months on 2.5mg. Nothing happens. That is the whole report and it took me a while to accept it as success.

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u/osman_ferrari16 points·1 year ago

stretching the interval is not the same as reducing the dose

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About c/maintenancephase

The part nobody posts about: what happens at goal weight. Finding a lowest effective dose, dose-interval stretching, regain risk data, muscle retention, the psychology of not having a number to chase, and staying on indefinitely versus tapering.

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