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c/trialwatch·posted 14 days ago by u/week_one_wanda

[Readout] REDEFINE 1 and what CagriSema actually adds over sema alone

Readout Slow Clap ×4 Sourced ×3

Posting this as a discussion rather than a claim: REDEFINE 1 and what CagriSema actually adds over sema alone.

Compared myself to a trial mean for about six months before realising the trial arm had dietitian contact every fortnight.

Read a press release and the publication three months apart. The hedging in the second one was substantial.

Quoted a figure here confidently, got asked whether it was ITT, went and checked, and it was not. Learned something.

If somebody has the same thing measured a different way, post it next to mine and we will see whether they agree.

953 up / 38 down96% upvoted34 commentsid n7180f15 Jul 2026

34 comments

22 in this archive, depth 4

best — the order this archive was captured in

u/heart_rate_bump125 points·13 days ago

Relative risk reduction without the baseline rate is uninterpretable. A large relative reduction on a small absolute risk is a small absolute benefit.

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u/yannick_salinas112 points·14 days ago

Argued for a week about a result and then read the limitations section, which conceded most of my opponent’s point.

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u/kaia_cabrera52 points·13 days ago

The registered protocol is public. Comparing the registered primary endpoint with the reported one is a two-minute check and it is how outcome switching gets caught.

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u/camila_vasquez-3 points·13 days ago

Which trial, and which arm?

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u/week_one_wandaOP47 points·13 days ago·edited

Went looking for the registered protocol to see whether the endpoint had changed. It had not, which was reassuring and worth checking.

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u/yannick_salinas0 points·13 days ago

What was the comparator?

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u/first_hundred56 points·13 days ago

Yes — the interval is the finding. A point estimate with a wide interval is a hypothesis in a nice font.

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[removed]42 points·13 days ago

[removed by moderator]

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u/nora_oyelaran63 points·13 days ago

Intention-to-treat analyses everybody randomised regardless of what they did afterwards. Completer analyses only those who finished. The second is systematically more flattering and both are legitimate if labelled.

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u/week_one_wandaOP27 points·12 days ago

How long was the randomised phase before any extension?

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u/tb500_tangent7 points·12 days ago

The discontinuation numbers were the most useful thing in the paper for me and they were in a supplementary table.

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u/prior_auth_painappeals92 points·13 days ago

the appendix is where the interesting tables live

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u/week_one_wandaOP23 points·12 days ago

Started keeping the trial identifiers straight in a note file because I kept mixing up two programmes in the same sentence.

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u/kaia_cabrera36 points·14 days ago

That is a relative risk reduction. Quoting it without the absolute numbers overstates the case considerably.

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u/week_four_wall10 points·14 days ago

Agreed on comparators. "Superior" means nothing until you know superior to what and at what dose.

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u/anders_kuusela6 points·13 days ago

Same. A press release is a claim about a result; the publication is the result.

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u/ines_castellanos5 points·13 days ago

A confidence interval is the range of effects compatible with the data. Two trials with overlapping intervals have not disagreed, whatever their point estimates look like next to each other.

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u/yusuf_ramos7 points·14 days ago

Is that intention-to-treat or completers?

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u/marit_laurent23 points·13 days ago

Spent an evening with the appendix tables and found the subgroup detail that the entire thread had been speculating about.

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u/ewan_tulloch36 points·12 days ago

STEP is semaglutide obesity, SURMOUNT is tirzepatide obesity, they are not interchangeable

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u/yusuf_achebe30 points·12 days ago

Open-label extensions lose their randomisation. Anybody still enrolled at week 104 is a selected group and the numbers describe that group.

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u/pancreatitis_scare11 points·12 days ago

open-label extensions are not the same evidence as the randomised phase

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